Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000894 0.001016 0.001145 0.001292 0.001452 0.001623 0.001817
2025-03-02 0.000711 0.000883 0.001077 0.001310 0.001580 0.001883 0.002245
2025-03-09 0.000586 0.000773 0.000995 0.001271 0.001605 0.001991 0.002467
2025-03-16 0.000489 0.000685 0.000925 0.001236 0.001624 0.002085 0.002670
2025-03-23 0.000429 0.000631 0.000889 0.001233 0.001675 0.002212 0.002909
2025-03-30 0.000380 0.000587 0.000859 0.001233 0.001724 0.002335 0.003142
2025-04-06 0.000335 0.000542 0.000823 0.001221 0.001755 0.002433 0.003343
2025-04-13 0.000293 0.000497 0.000784 0.001199 0.001769 0.002506 0.003513
2025-04-20 0.000272 0.000481 0.000780 0.001225 0.001846 0.002662 0.003790
2025-04-27 0.000251 0.000461 0.000772 0.001242 0.001910 0.002801 0.004048
2025-05-04 0.000225 0.000430 0.000743 0.001228 0.001930 0.002880 0.004227
2025-05-11 0.000199 0.000398 0.000710 0.001205 0.001935 0.002937 0.004375
2025-05-18 0.000183 0.000382 0.000702 0.001218 0.001992 0.003069 0.004631
2025-05-25 0.000168 0.000365 0.000691 0.001227 0.002043 0.003193 0.004878
2025-06-01 0.000147 0.000334 0.000654 0.001193 0.002029 0.003224 0.004995
2025-06-08 0.000127 0.000305 0.000618 0.001158 0.002012 0.003248 0.005103
2025-06-15 0.000116 0.000289 0.000603 0.001156 0.002043 0.003342 0.005309
2025-06-22 0.000105 0.000275 0.000590 0.001155 0.002075 0.003438 0.005520
2025-06-29 0.000095 0.000259 0.000571 0.001144 0.002090 0.003508 0.005695
2025-07-06 0.000084 0.000240 0.000548 0.001123 0.002088 0.003552 0.005832
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000236 0.000551 0.001148 0.002160 0.003709 0.006135
2025-07-20 0.000074 0.000230 0.000549 0.001164 0.002218 0.003844 0.006409
2025-07-27 0.000067 0.000216 0.000531 0.001151 0.002228 0.003906 0.006575